Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 4.004831 4.294990 4.605212 4.963171 5.366858 5.810441 6.338074
2025-06-29 3.459558 3.849328 4.291630 4.836713 5.498999 6.289330 7.322475
2025-07-06 3.133791 3.570452 4.085711 4.749860 5.600812 6.680959 8.202812
2025-07-13 2.922937 3.391954 3.962654 4.725458 5.747137 7.115433 9.179621
2025-07-20 2.802845 3.306796 3.937387 4.809264 6.027828 7.749220 10.537906
2025-07-27 2.712026 3.246920 3.933226 4.912059 6.336125 8.455311 12.148368
2025-08-03 2.599850 3.148783 3.867277 4.918124 6.498739 8.958159 13.534137
2025-08-10 2.473798 3.022852 3.752687 4.841452 6.523449 9.238556 14.582002
2025-08-17 2.345658 2.886149 3.613333 4.715275 6.454612 9.348362 15.321968
2025-08-24 2.248743 2.786391 3.518724 4.646552 6.467246 9.595638 16.403144
2025-08-31 2.195906 2.744015 3.501826 4.692250 6.668619 10.207153 18.465459
2025-09-07 2.142979 2.698312 3.476554 4.721474 6.843060 10.794191 20.685349
2025-09-14 2.034379 2.571923 3.330679 4.556345 6.675090 10.708279 21.221284
2025-09-21 1.950200 2.477491 3.228269 4.455536 6.614491 10.838023 22.434275
2025-09-28 1.879310 2.398949 3.145259 4.379845 6.590584 11.039194 23.951540
2025-10-05 1.827509 2.345743 3.097489 4.358409 6.663975 11.463240 26.395639
2025-10-12 1.802718 2.330667 3.106586 4.432177 6.925201 12.363480 31.092315
2025-10-19 1.783204 2.322236 3.125003 4.522530 7.229259 13.439191 37.489848
2025-10-26 1.745685 2.285191 3.096333 4.527856 7.361180 14.115055 42.891356
2025-11-02 1.694642 2.225848 3.029469 4.460484 7.333845 14.363006 46.425420
2025-11-09 1.637111 2.154861 2.941197 4.349444 7.203294 14.303347 48.213568
2025-11-16 1.593173 2.103305 2.882362 4.288877 7.176950 14.539140 52.211729
2025-11-23 1.572216 2.086213 2.878600 4.329159 7.376534 15.487871 62.786548